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Innsbrucker AC vs Kematen

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tirol 2025/2026 game between Innsbrucker AC and Kematen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Innsbrucker AC
30%
Draws
39%
Kematen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Innsbrucker AC come out ahead of Kematen on wins alone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tirol 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Innsbrucker AC Clean Sheet 16%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Innsbrucker AC Kematen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tirol
Innsbrucker AC vs Kematen
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs Innsbrucker AC
1:1
Mar 21, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs Innsbrucker AC
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Tirol
Innsbrucker AC vs Kematen
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 Tirol
Innsbrucker AC vs Kematen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Innsbrucker AC 30 / 100
Kematen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Innsbrucker AC Kematen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Innsbrucker AC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kematen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Innsbrucker AC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Innsbrucker AC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Innsbrucker AC VS Kematen
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Innsbrucker AC

(Home)
19 Sept
Innsbrucker AC
4 : 1
Kolsass Weer
11 Sept
SV Oberperfuss
1 : 1
Innsbrucker AC
05 Sept
Innsbrucker AC
1 : 1
FC Volders
29 Aug
Vols
1 : 0
Innsbrucker AC
23 Aug
Innsbrucker AC
3 : 0
Ebbs
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Kematen

(Away)
19 Sept
Kematen
3 : 0
SV Oberperfuss
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
30 Aug
Ebbs
1 : 2
Kematen
21 Aug
Kematen
5 : 5
FC Natters
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