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Institute vs Armagh

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
Institute Logo

Institute

6 - 0
FT
Armagh Logo

Armagh

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Institute in this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Institute.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Institute
20%
Draws
16%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Armagh haven't matched Institute's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Institute taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Institute here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Institute Clean Sheet 68%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Armagh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.69 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.28 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Institute
1:4
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Armagh
6:0
Nov 1, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Armagh
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Institute
1:3
Apr 19, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Armagh
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 68 / 100
Armagh 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armagh let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Institute found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Armagh's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Armagh
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
15 Aug
Institute
0 : 0
Loughgall
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2
Ballinamallard
07 Aug
Strabane Athletic
0 : 1
Institute
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1
Institute
11 Jul
Dungannon
3 : 1
Institute
Page 1 of 6

Armagh

(Away)
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0
Armagh
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
10 Jul
Armagh
0 : 1
Cliftonville
25 Apr
Armagh
1 : 4
Institute
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Limavady 33 21 8 4 61:32 71
2 Annagh 33 22 5 6 54:27 71
3 Harland & Wolff 33 17 8 8 77:41 59
4 Newington FC 33 15 6 12 69:52 51
5 Loughgall 33 13 12 8 46:34 51
6 Queens University 33 12 11 10 43:42 47
7 Institute 33 13 7 13 47:43 46
8 Ards 33 12 7 14 50:46 43
9 Warrenpoint 33 10 6 17 44:50 36
10 Ballinamallard 33 8 10 15 36:52 34
11 Dundela 33 3 11 19 37:73 20
12 Armagh 33 4 5 24 28:100 17
Promotion - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)