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Institute vs Ballinamallard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballinamallard in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballinamallard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Institute
20%
Draws
32%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Institute lately — more wins on the board than Ballinamallard.
  • Institute are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Institute Clean Sheet 10%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Ballinamallard
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Ballinamallard
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Ballinamallard
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Institute
0:1
Jan 13, 2026 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Institute
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Institute
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 47 / 100
Ballinamallard 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ballinamallard conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Institute remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Ballinamallard
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
Page 1 of 6

Ballinamallard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)