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Institute vs Ballinamallard

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballinamallard in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballinamallard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Institute
20%
Draws
36%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Institute lately — more wins on the board than Ballinamallard.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Institute Clean Sheet 20%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Ballinamallard
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Ballinamallard
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Ballinamallard
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Institute
0:1
Jan 13, 2026 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Institute
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Institute
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 32 / 100
Ballinamallard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Ballinamallard conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Institute remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Ballinamallard
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2
Ballinamallard
07 Aug
Strabane Athletic
0 : 1
Institute
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1
Institute
11 Jul
Dungannon
3 : 1
Institute
25 Apr
Armagh
1 : 4
Institute
Page 1 of 7

Ballinamallard

(Away)
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2
Ballinamallard
08 Aug
Ballinamallard
0 : 1
Newry City
31 Jul
Ballinamallard
1 : 2
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ards 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Newington FC 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
3 Glenavon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
4 Harland & Wolff 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Newry City 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
6 Loughgall 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
7 Moyola 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Queens University 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Institute 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Annagh 3 1 1 1 7:8 4
11 Dundela 3 0 3 0 6:6 3
12 Strabane Athletic 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
13 Ballinamallard 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Warrenpoint 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Armagh 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Rathfriland Rangers 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)