Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Institute vs Ballyclare

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2024/2025
Institute Logo

Institute

2 - 1
FT
Ballyclare Logo

Ballyclare

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Warwick G.
72' Event
Brown D.
90'
Foster S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2024/2025 game between Institute and Ballyclare finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Institute.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Institute
15%
Draws
0%
Ballyclare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Institute come out ahead of Ballyclare on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Institute taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Institute Clean Sheet 20%
Ballyclare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Ballyclare
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.69 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 3.17 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Ballyclare
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballyclare vs Institute
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 NIFL Championship
Ballyclare vs Institute
3:3
Sep 7, 2024 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Ballyclare
1:3
Jan 20, 2024 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Ballyclare
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Institute Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.44
Avg xA / game 1.58

Ballyclare Compare

Top Goalscorer Warwick G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 85 / 100
Ballyclare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Ballyclare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Ballyclare conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Ballyclare lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Ballyclare
2.13 Goals Scored 0.6
0.75 Goals Conceded 4.2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
22 Aug
Queens University
4 : 1
Institute
15 Aug
Institute
0 : 0
Loughgall
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2
Ballinamallard
07 Aug
Strabane Athletic
0 : 1
Institute
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1
Institute
Page 1 of 7

Ballyclare

(Away)
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Queens University
4 : 1
Ballyclare
18 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 4
Loughgall
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
04 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 3
Portadown
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Institute 38 13 12 13 62:63 51
8 Ballinamallard 38 13 5 20 55:62 44
9 Armagh 38 10 12 16 62:78 42
10 Newington FC 38 11 9 18 51:74 42
11 Ballyclare 38 11 7 20 52:85 40
12 Newry City 38 7 10 21 46:78 31
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2024/2025 (Relegation)