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Institute vs Loughgall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Institute Logo

Institute

0 - 3
FT
Loughgall Logo

Loughgall

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Stewart D.
45' Event
Lovrekovic N.
46' Event
Lovrekovic N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Institute
20%
Draws
40%
Loughgall
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Loughgall haven't matched Institute's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Institute have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Loughgall, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Institute Clean Sheet 18%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Loughgall
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2026 Irish League Cup
Institute vs Loughgall
0:3
Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Loughgall
0:0
Mar 20, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Institute
1:3
Mar 3, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Loughgall
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Loughgall vs Institute
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Institute Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Loughgall Compare

Top Goalscorer Lovrekovic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stewart D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 31 / 100
Loughgall 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Loughgall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Loughgall has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Institute has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Loughgall
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
20 Oct
Institute
0 : 3
Loughgall
16 Oct
Ards
0 : 2
Institute
10 Oct
Institute
0 : 0
Harland & Wolff
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
Page 1 of 6

Loughgall

(Away)
20 Oct
Institute
0 : 3
Loughgall
16 Oct
Strabane Athletic
1 : 1
Loughgall
10 Oct
Loughgall
1 : 2
Moyola
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Annagh 3
Limavady 4
Armagh 1
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballinamallard 1
Queens University 2
Bangor FC 1
Dungannon 2
Carrick Rangers 3
Newry City 0
Dundela 1
Moyola 4
Institute 0
Loughgall 3
Newington FC 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ards 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Glenavon 5
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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