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Institute vs Warrenpoint

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2025/2026 game between Institute and Warrenpoint finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Institute
6%
Draws
4%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Institute carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Institute's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Institute Clean Sheet 20%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Warrenpoint
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Warrenpoint
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Institute
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Institute
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Warrenpoint
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Institute
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 85 / 100
Warrenpoint 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Warrenpoint's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Institute went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Warrenpoint
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1
Institute
11 Jul
Dungannon
3 : 1
Institute
25 Apr
Armagh
1 : 4
Institute
18 Apr
Institute
3 : 1
Ards
11 Apr
Institute
3 : 0
Ballinamallard
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Warrenpoint

(Away)
21 Jul
Cliftonville
2 : 1
Warrenpoint
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
04 Jul
Limavady
4 : 1
Warrenpoint
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Ards
18 Apr
Ballinamallard
0 : 1
Warrenpoint
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