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Institute vs Warrenpoint

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2025/2026 game between Institute and Warrenpoint finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Institute
15%
Draws
37%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Institute carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Institute Clean Sheet 16%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Warrenpoint
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.87 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Warrenpoint
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Warrenpoint
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Institute
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Institute
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Warrenpoint
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 36 / 100
Warrenpoint 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Warrenpoint's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Institute stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Warrenpoint
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
22 Aug
Queens University
4 : 1
Institute
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Warrenpoint

(Away)
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
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