Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Instituto vs Atletico Atlanta

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Galeano L.
Own Goal
54'
Sub
Bisanz F. In: Fedele L.
Out: Bisanz F.
54'
Sub
Gelos V. In: Quintana A.
Out: Gelos V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Instituto
15%
Draws
45%
Atletico Atlanta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Instituto at 1.21 per game, Atletico Atlanta at 1.17.
  • Model gives Instituto a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Instituto, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Instituto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Instituto Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Instituto Atletico Atlanta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Copa Argentina
Instituto vs Atletico Atlanta
2:0
Jul 3, 2022 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Instituto
0:0
Apr 15, 2012 Primera Nacional
Instituto vs Atletico Atlanta
1:0
Oct 8, 2011 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Instituto
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Instituto Compare

Top Goalscorer Luna A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Instituto 46 / 100
Atletico Atlanta 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Instituto Atletico Atlanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Instituto found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Instituto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico Atlanta let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Instituto VS Atletico Atlanta
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Instituto

(Home)
20 Sept
Instituto
3 : 1
Talleres Cordoba
15 Sept
Instituto
2 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
28 Aug
Platense
2 : 1
Instituto
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Atlanta

(Away)
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Agropecuario
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
30 Aug
Atletico Atlanta
0 : 1
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club 2
Boca Juniors 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense -
Estudiantes L.P. -
Semi-finals
Banfield -
Boca Juniors -
Atl. Tucuman -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -