Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Medina A.
25'
25'
Jara F.
(Penalty)
29'
29'
Guidara T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Instituto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Instituto at 1 per game, Lanus at 0.97.
- Win probability leans Instituto's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Instituto Clean Sheet 68%
Lanus Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Instituto | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Instituto
0:1
May 30, 2026 Copa Argentina
Instituto vs Lanus
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Lanus
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Lanus
0:0
Mar 17, 2025 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Instituto
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Instituto Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallardo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Lanus Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcich S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moreno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Instituto 68 / 100
Lanus 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Instituto Lanus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Instituto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Instituto went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Instituto scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Lanus's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Instituto VS Lanus
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Instituto
(Home) 22 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0 Instituto
16 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1 Instituto
09 Aug
Instituto
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
30 Jul
Instituto
2 : 1 Platense
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Instituto
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
30 Jul
Instituto
2 : 1 Platense
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1 Lanus
18 Apr
Instituto
0 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
07 Apr
Instituto
2 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 3
Lanus
(Away) 25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1 Argentinos Jrs
17 Aug
Lanus
1 : 3 Independiente
12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1 Lanus
21 May
LDU Quito
2 : 0 Lanus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
