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Instituto vs Newells Old Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Presidente Peron, Cordoba
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Instituto host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Newells Old Boys have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Instituto have conceded 0.83 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Instituto slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.94, favoring Instituto. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Instituto
30%
Draws
27%
Newells Old Boys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Instituto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Instituto have won more games recently than Newells Old Boys.
  • Win probability leans Instituto's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Instituto Clean Sheet 20%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Instituto Newells Old Boys
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Instituto
1:1
Jun 14, 2024 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Instituto
0:2
Feb 27, 2023 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Newells Old Boys
3:1
Apr 14, 2006 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Newells Old Boys
1:2
Nov 16, 2005 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Instituto
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Instituto 67 / 100
Newells Old Boys 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Instituto Newells Old Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Instituto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Instituto found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Instituto has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Newells Old Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Instituto VS Newells Old Boys
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Instituto

(Home)
27 Oct
Instituto
1 : 0
Deportivo Riestra
16 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
0 : 1
Instituto
09 Oct
Instituto
2 : 2
Boca Juniors
02 Oct
Independiente
1 : 4
Instituto
20 Sept
Instituto
3 : 1
Talleres Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

Newells Old Boys

(Away)
24 Oct
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
19 Oct
Newells Old Boys
2 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
12 Oct
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
Lanus
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 14 10 2 2 21:10 32
2 Velez Sarsfield 14 7 6 1 23:13 27
3 Boca Juniors 14 7 6 1 22:14 27
4 Defensa y Justicia 14 8 3 3 20:13 27
5 Lanus 14 7 3 4 17:10 24
6 Newells Old Boys 14 5 6 3 13:10 21
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 14 6 2 6 16:15 20
8 Independiente 14 5 4 5 12:14 19
9 San Lorenzo 14 5 3 6 7:12 18
10 Union de Santa Fe 14 5 2 7 21:23 17
11 Estudiantes L.P. 14 4 2 8 17:18 14
12 Platense 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
13 Deportivo Riestra 14 2 6 6 10:14 12
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 14 2 4 8 11:23 10
15 Talleres Cordoba 14 2 3 9 13:22 9
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosario Central 15 9 4 2 24:12 31
2 Argentinos Jrs 14 8 4 2 18:11 28
3 Gimnasia L.P. 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
4 River Plate 14 7 2 5 19:13 23
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 14 6 4 4 14:11 22
6 Barracas Central 14 6 4 4 13:11 22
7 Sarmiento Junin 15 6 3 6 23:23 21
8 Huracan 15 5 4 6 12:16 19
9 Ind. Rivadavia 14 5 4 5 17:22 19
10 Atl. Tucuman 14 4 5 5 13:13 17
11 Tigre 15 4 4 7 15:16 16
12 Racing Club 15 4 3 8 16:22 15
13 Banfield 14 3 5 6 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 15 3 2 10 16:24 11
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 15 2 3 10 10:21 9
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)