Sport Picks
Instituto vs Newells Old Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Instituto host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Newells Old Boys have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Instituto have conceded 0.83 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Instituto slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.94, favoring Instituto. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Instituto have won more games recently than Newells Old Boys.
- Win probability leans Instituto's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Instituto | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Instituto found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Instituto has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Newells Old Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Instituto
(Home)Newells Old Boys
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | 9 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 28 |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Ind. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | 15 |
| 13 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:21 | 9 |