Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Insutec vs Barcelona SC

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Insutec play Barcelona SC in the Copa Ecuador. It looks like a close match. Recently, Insutec averaged 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. Barcelona SC averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Insutec won 0, Barcelona SC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Insutec and 2.31 for Barcelona SC. This points to a Barcelona SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Insutec
19%
Draws
53%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Insutec picked up more points recently compared to Barcelona SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Insutec Clean Sheet 10%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Insutec Barcelona SC
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2 1.07
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Insutec vs Barcelona SC
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Insutec Compare

Top Goalscorer Lama G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Celiz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Insutec 27 / 100
Barcelona SC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Insutec Barcelona SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Barcelona SC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Insutec attacking → ← attacking Barcelona SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Insutec scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Barcelona SC let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Insutec went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Barcelona SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 45
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50