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Insutec vs Gualaceo

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Alles G.
90' Event
Angulo Grueso B. A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Gualaceo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Insutec
15%
Draws
61%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gualaceo come out ahead of Insutec on wins alone.
  • Gualaceo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Gualaceo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gualaceo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Insutec Clean Sheet 10%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Insutec Gualaceo
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 1 14
Draws 0 8
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2 1.1
Goals Conceded 3 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2022 Copa Ecuador
Insutec vs Gualaceo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Insutec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Alles G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angulo Grueso B. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Insutec 10 / 100
Gualaceo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Insutec Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gualaceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Insutec scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Gualaceo has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Insutec stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Insutec VS Gualaceo
2 Goals Scored 0.88
4 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Insutec

(Home)
12 May
Insutec
2 : 4
Barcelona SC
11 Apr
Insutec
4 : 3
Club Deportivo Ibarra
12 Jun
Insutec
0 : 2
Gualaceo

Gualaceo

(Away)
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
29 Aug
Gualaceo
3 : 0
EL Nacional
20 Aug
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 3
Gualaceo
15 Aug
Gualaceo
0 : 0
Atletico FC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Manabita 0
Emelec 5
Leones del Norte 1
Aucas 4
Portoviejo 0
Nueve de Octubre 1
CD Penarol 2
Orense 4
Vargas Torres 3
Tecnico U. 2
CD Aampetra 2
U. Catolica 0
Olmedo 1
Mushuc Runa 2
Chacaritas 0
Cumbaya 2
Samborondon 0
Independiente del Valle 2
La Union 2
Macara 0
Manta 0
LDU Quito 1
Imbabura 2
Guayaquil City 1
Bonita Banana 2
Dep. Cuenca 1
EL Nacional 2
Barcelona SC 1
Independiente Juniors 1
Delfin 2
Insutec 0
Gualaceo 2
Semi-finals
Emelec 0
Aucas 2
Nueve de Octubre 2
Orense 1
Vargas Torres 1
CD Aampetra 0
Mushuc Runa 1
Cumbaya 0
Independiente del Valle 1
La Union 0
LDU Quito 1
Imbabura 2
Bonita Banana 1
EL Nacional 2
Delfin 2
Gualaceo 0
Final
Aucas 0
Nueve de Octubre 2
Vargas Torres 0
Mushuc Runa 1
Independiente del Valle 3
Imbabura 1
EL Nacional 3
Delfin 1