Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Bogotá vs Dep. Pasto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Perlaza J.
Assist: Leys F.
22' Event
Rodas M.
Assist: Dajome C.
57'
Sub
Leys F. In: Chavez D.
Out: Leys F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Inter Bogotá
35%
Draws
45%
Dep. Pasto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Pasto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Pasto lately — more wins on the board than Inter Bogotá.
  • Model gives Inter Bogotá a 20% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Bogotá Dep. Pasto
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Dep. Pasto
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Inter Bogotá
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Dep. Pasto
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Inter Bogotá
2:1
Nov 11, 2024 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Dep. Pasto
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Bogotá Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dep. Pasto Compare

Top Goalscorer Perlaza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Bogotá 50 / 100
Dep. Pasto 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Bogotá Dep. Pasto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Bogotá Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Bogotá scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Dep. Pasto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Inter Bogotá remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Bogotá VS Dep. Pasto
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Bogotá

(Home)
10 Oct
Junior
2 : 2
Inter Bogotá
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0
Inter Bogotá
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3
Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pasto

(Away)
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 13 8 3 2 25:9 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Bucaramanga 12 6 6 0 21:11 24
4 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
5 Ind. Medellin 13 7 2 4 21:17 23
6 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
7 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
8 Deportes Tolima 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
9 Cucuta 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
10 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
11 Aguilas Doradas 13 3 7 3 17:18 16
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Junior 13 2 5 6 19:23 11
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 12 2 4 6 14:22 10
19 Dep. Pereira 13 1 7 5 8:18 10
20 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)