Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter de Bebedouro vs AEA Aracatuba

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kadu Barone
20' Event
Genesis
76' Event
Caio Vidal

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Inter de Bebedouro and AEA Aracatuba finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter de Bebedouro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Inter de Bebedouro
20%
Draws
0%
AEA Aracatuba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter de Bebedouro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter de Bebedouro come out ahead of AEA Aracatuba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Inter de Bebedouro a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Inter de Bebedouro Clean Sheet 68%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter de Bebedouro AEA Aracatuba
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 15 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.41 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.87 0.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs AEA Aracatuba
4:0
Feb 26, 2025 Paulista A4
AEA Aracatuba vs Inter de Bebedouro
0:3
Jun 15, 2024 Paulista B
AEA Aracatuba vs Inter de Bebedouro
1:0
May 11, 2024 Paulista B
Inter de Bebedouro vs AEA Aracatuba
0:1
Jul 10, 2016 Paulista A4
AEA Aracatuba vs Inter de Bebedouro
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter de Bebedouro Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Vidal
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kadu Barone
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.94

AEA Aracatuba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.31
Avg xA / game 0.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter de Bebedouro 95 / 100
AEA Aracatuba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter de Bebedouro AEA Aracatuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter de Bebedouro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter de Bebedouro scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

AEA Aracatuba lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: AEA Aracatuba conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Inter de Bebedouro VS AEA Aracatuba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.43
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.86
25% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter de Bebedouro

(Home)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
18 Apr
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 0
Lemense
Page 1 of 7

AEA Aracatuba

(Away)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)