Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Loram
65' Event
Carlos Eduardo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Inter de Bebedouro
35%
Draws
34%
Penapolense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter de Bebedouro lately — more wins on the board than Penapolense.
  • Inter de Bebedouro are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Inter de Bebedouro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Inter de Bebedouro Clean Sheet 68%
Penapolense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter de Bebedouro Penapolense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 10 13
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.47 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense
1:1
May 6, 2026 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Inter de Bebedouro
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Inter de Bebedouro
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense
1:1
Jun 5, 2022 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter de Bebedouro Compare

Top Goalscorer Loram
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Penapolense Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Eduardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter de Bebedouro 59 / 100
Penapolense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter de Bebedouro Penapolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter de Bebedouro scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Penapolense has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Inter de Bebedouro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter de Bebedouro VS Penapolense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter de Bebedouro

(Home)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
18 Apr
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 0
Lemense
Page 1 of 6

Penapolense

(Away)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1
Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Lemense 0
Sao-Carlense 2
Barretos EC 1
Sao Caetano 1
Jacarei FC 0
Penapolense 3
Taquaritinga 3
Semi-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Sao-Carlense 2
Sao Caetano 3
Penapolense 4
Final
Inter de Bebedouro 2
Penapolense 3