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Stadium Background

Inter de Lages U20 vs Hercilio Luz U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Vinicius Damico
52' Event
Zappacosta J.
54' Event
Aparecido G.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 2024 game between Inter de Lages U20 and Hercilio Luz U20 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Inter de Lages U20
6%
Draws
90%
Hercilio Luz U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hercilio Luz U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hercilio Luz U20 come out ahead of Inter de Lages U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hercilio Luz U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Inter de Lages U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Hercilio Luz U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter de Lages U20 Hercilio Luz U20
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 0 15
Draws 0 3
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.29 1.88
Goals Conceded 4.86 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.86 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2024 Catarinense U20
Inter de Lages U20 vs Hercilio Luz U20
0:3
Apr 17, 2024 Catarinense U20
Hercilio Luz U20 vs Inter de Lages U20
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter de Lages U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

Hercilio Luz U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Damico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zappacosta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter de Lages U20 10 / 100
Hercilio Luz U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter de Lages U20 Hercilio Luz U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hercilio Luz U20 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Hercilio Luz U20 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Inter de Lages U20 scored in 30% of their last 20 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter de Lages U20 VS Hercilio Luz U20
0.29 Goals Scored 1.88
4.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra FC U2020153259:1248
2Criciuma U2020144246:1746
3Marcilio Dias U2020134345:1843
4Hercilio Luz U2020122643:2738
5Avai U202089337:2033
6Figueirense U2020721130:3623
7Joinville U202065927:3623
8Brusque U2020641026:3722
9Chapecoense-SC U2020541134:3719
10Nacao U2020351219:4114
11Inter de Lages U202000208:930