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Inter de Minas vs Araguari

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Inter de Minas and Araguari finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter de Minas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Inter de Minas
15%
Draws
0%
Araguari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter de Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Araguari haven't matched Inter de Minas's recent run of results.
  • Inter de Minas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Inter de Minas Clean Sheet 20%
Araguari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter de Minas Araguari
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 13 0
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.52 0.19
Goals Conceded 1.23 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 Mineiro 3
Inter de Minas vs Araguari
1:0
Sep 11, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Inter de Minas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter de Minas 85 / 100
Araguari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter de Minas Araguari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter de Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter de Minas found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Araguari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 16 matches.

Difficult form: Araguari registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Inter de Minas VS Araguari
2.13 Goals Scored 0.17
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter de Minas

(Home)
19 Sept
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
11 Oct
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
03 Oct
Inter de Minas
1 : 3
Tupi-MG
26 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 0
Boston City
13 Sept
Uniao Luziense
0 : 0
Inter de Minas
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Araguari

(Away)
19 Oct
Paracatu
5 : 0
Araguari
12 Oct
Araguari
0 : 7
Essube
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0
Araguari
28 Sept
Uberaba
2 : 1
Araguari
21 Sept
Araguari
0 : 6
Uberaba
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)