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Inter de Minas vs Santarritense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Carlos Andre
20' Event
Palmeira de Oliveira V.
21' Event
Carlos Andre

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 game between Inter de Minas and Santarritense finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter de Minas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Inter de Minas
15%
Draws
42%
Santarritense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter de Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter de Minas come out ahead of Santarritense on wins alone.
  • Inter de Minas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Inter de Minas Clean Sheet 20%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter de Minas Santarritense
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.79 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Mineiro 3
Inter de Minas vs Santarritense
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter de Minas Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Andre
2 Goals
Assists Leader Palmeira de Oliveira V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Santarritense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter de Minas 85 / 100
Santarritense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter de Minas Santarritense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter de Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter de Minas's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Santarritense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santarritense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter de Minas VS Santarritense
2 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter de Minas

(Home)
02 Oct
Inter de Minas
7 : 1
Santarritense
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
0 : 1
Nacional de Muriae
19 Sept
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
11 Oct
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
03 Oct
Inter de Minas
1 : 3
Tupi-MG
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Santarritense

(Away)
02 Oct
Inter de Minas
7 : 1
Santarritense
27 Sept
Santarritense
0 : 8
Venda Nova FC
21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0
Santarritense
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0
Santarritense
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1
Novo Esporte
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional de Muriae 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Venda Nova FC 3 2 1 0 10:1 7
3 Novo Esporte 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Inter de Minas 3 1 0 2 8:4 3
5 Nova Lavras 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 Santarritense 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paracatu 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Betim FC 2 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Funorte EC 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
5 Araxa 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
6 Siderurgica 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)