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Inter de Minas vs Tupi-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Lucas Inacio
29'
Victor Gabriel
29'
Victor Gabriel

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2025 game between Inter de Minas and Tupi-MG finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupi-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Inter de Minas
15%
Draws
26%
Tupi-MG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter de Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter de Minas come out ahead of Tupi-MG on wins alone.
  • Inter de Minas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Inter de Minas Clean Sheet 20%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter de Minas Tupi-MG
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.55 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Mineiro 3
Inter de Minas vs Tupi-MG
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter de Minas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tupi-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Inacio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schimaltz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter de Minas 85 / 100
Tupi-MG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter de Minas Tupi-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter de Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Inter de Minas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Tupi-MG let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Inter de Minas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter de Minas VS Tupi-MG
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter de Minas

(Home)
11 Oct
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
03 Oct
Inter de Minas
1 : 3
Tupi-MG
26 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 0
Boston City
13 Sept
Uniao Luziense
0 : 0
Inter de Minas
07 Sept
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 2
Inter de Minas
Page 1 of 6

Tupi-MG

(Away)
22 Nov
Boa
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
02 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
25 Oct
Tupi-MG
0 : 3
Novo Esporte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupi-MG 6 3 3 0 11:7 12
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Novo Esporte 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
4 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
5 Boston City 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
6 Uniao Luziense 6 0 3 3 4:7 3
7 Serranense 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2025 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boa 5 4 1 0 13:1 13
2 Paracatu 5 1 3 1 5:8 6
3 Juventus Minasnovense 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
4 Essube 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
5 Passos 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
6 Nacional Uberaba 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2025 (Final Group)