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Inter Ibiza vs Mercadal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Huescar R.
(Penalty)
74'
Navarro G.
90' Event
Ortiz J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Inter Ibiza and Mercadal finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mercadal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Inter Ibiza
30%
Draws
58%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mercadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Ibiza's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Mercadal have produced (0.93).
  • Mercadal are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 13%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Ibiza Mercadal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Mercadal
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Inter Ibiza
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Mercadal
0:2
Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Inter Ibiza
3:3
Oct 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Mercadal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Ibiza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mercadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Ibiza 11 / 100
Mercadal 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Ibiza Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mercadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Ibiza's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mercadal conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Inter Ibiza went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Ibiza VS Mercadal
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Ibiza

(Home)
04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0
Inter Ibiza
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

Mercadal

(Away)
03 Oct
Mercadal
1 : 3
Constancia
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)