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Inter Ibiza vs Pena Deportiva

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ada I.
66' Event
Martinez A.
71' Event
Navarro G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Inter Ibiza and Pena Deportiva finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Inter Ibiza
20%
Draws
80%
Pena Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pena Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pena Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Pena Deportiva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Ibiza Pena Deportiva
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 10
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Pena Deportiva
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Inter Ibiza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Ada I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Pena Deportiva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.93
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Ibiza 10 / 100
Pena Deportiva 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Ibiza Pena Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Deportiva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Deportiva let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Inter Ibiza scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Pena Deportiva lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Ibiza VS Pena Deportiva
0.43 Goals Scored 2.38
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Ibiza

(Home)
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

Pena Deportiva

(Away)
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0
Pena Deportiva
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2
Arenas Armilla
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)