Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Miami vs New York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Nu Stadium, Miami, FL
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Miami host New York City in the MLS. This one's hard to separate. Inter Miami have averaged 2.41 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against New York City's 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Inter Miami have won 3 to New York City's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.75 - 1.25) back Inter Miami to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Inter Miami
35%
Draws
30%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Miami lately — more wins on the board than New York City.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 19%
New York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Miami New York City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.41 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 MLS
New York City vs Inter Miami
2:3
Nov 29, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs New York City
5:1
Sep 24, 2025 MLS
New York City vs Inter Miami
0:4
Feb 23, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs New York City
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 MLS
New York City vs Inter Miami
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Miami 31 / 100
New York City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Miami New York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Miami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Miami scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: New York City conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Inter Miami stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Miami VS New York City
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Miami

(Home)
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6

New York City

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)