Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Nouakchott vs Douane

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Arwel D.
31' Event
Tetah E. M.
38' Event
Sidibe M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Inter Nouakchott and Douane finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Douane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Inter Nouakchott
20%
Draws
50%
Douane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Douane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Douane come out ahead of Inter Nouakchott on wins alone.
  • Douane are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Inter Nouakchott Clean Sheet 10%
Douane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Nouakchott Douane
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Douane
2:3
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Inter Nouakchott
6:1
Apr 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Douane
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Douane vs Inter Nouakchott
0:2
May 4, 2024 Ligue 1
Douane vs Inter Nouakchott
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Nouakchott Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Douane Compare

Top Goalscorer Tetah E. M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arwel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Nouakchott 22 / 100
Douane 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Nouakchott Douane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Douane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Douane let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Inter Nouakchott found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Inter Nouakchott has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Nouakchott VS Douane
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Nouakchott

(Home)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
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Douane

(Away)
19 Sept
Hafia
0 : 1
Douane
05 Sept
Douane
2 : 2
Hafia
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)