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Inter Palmira vs Inter Bogotá - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Francisco Rivera Escobar, Palmira
Inter Palmira Logo

Inter Palmira

1 - 2
FT
Inter Bogotá Logo

Inter Bogotá

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Vasquez L.
56' Event
Franco Bustillo C. A.
90' Event
Sanguinetti F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Inter Palmira
35%
Draws
42%
Inter Bogotá
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inter Bogotá

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter Palmira come out ahead of Inter Bogotá on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Inter Bogotá taking it.
  • Inter Palmira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Inter Bogotá, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Inter Bogotá have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 19%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Palmira Inter Bogotá
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Copa Colombia
Inter Palmira vs Inter Bogotá
1:2
Jul 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Inter Bogotá vs Inter Palmira
1:0
Oct 11, 2022 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Inter Palmira
1:1
Apr 25, 2022 Primera A
Inter Palmira vs Inter Bogotá
0:2
Sep 15, 2017 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Inter Palmira
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Palmira Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco Bustillo C. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Inter Bogotá Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanguinetti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Palmira 28 / 100
Inter Bogotá 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Palmira Inter Bogotá

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Bogotá Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Bogotá has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Inter Palmira scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Inter Palmira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Palmira VS Inter Bogotá
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Palmira

(Home)
19 Oct
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
15 Oct
Inter Palmira
1 : 1
Orsomarso
11 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Inter Palmira
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Leones
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Inter Bogotá

(Away)
20 Oct
Inter Bogotá
2 : 1
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
15 Oct
Inter Bogotá
4 : 1
Llaneros
10 Oct
Junior
2 : 2
Inter Bogotá
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Atl. Nacional 4
Tigres Futbol Club 0
Junior 5
Barranquilla 6
Dep. Pasto 3
Bogota 1
America De Cali 3
Cartagena 2
Once Caldas 6
Envigado 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Quindio 4
Santa Fe 3
Union Magdalena 1
Inter Bogotá 3
Inter Palmira 1