Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Inter Playa Del Carmen

Sat, Jan 17, 2026

4 - 3

10:00 PM

Jaguares De Chiapas

Our Tip

Match Events

Tecpanecatl A.

Own Goal

25'

Plada M.

43'

Sanchez G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Inter Playa Del Carmen in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Playa Del Carmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Inter Playa Del Carmen

11%

Draws

Jaguares De Chiapas

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Inter Playa Del Carmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Inter Playa Del Carmen lately — more wins on the board than Jaguares De Chiapas.
Inter Playa Del Carmen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 68%

Jaguares De Chiapas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Inter Playa Del Carmen	Jaguares De Chiapas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	10
Draws	6	6
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Jaguares De Chiapas

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

4:3

Aug 31, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Jaguares De Chiapas vs Inter Playa Del Carmen

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Feb 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Jaguares De Chiapas

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Oct 6, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Jaguares De Chiapas vs Inter Playa Del Carmen

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Playa Del Carmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Plada M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Guillen J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Jaguares De Chiapas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Agualimpia C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Playa Del Carmen 86 / 100

Jaguares De Chiapas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Inter Playa Del Carmen Jaguares De Chiapas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jaguares De Chiapas conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Inter Playa Del Carmen's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Inter Playa Del Carmen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Playa Del Carmen VS Jaguares De Chiapas

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17