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Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Tapachula

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Inter Playa Del Carmen Logo

Inter Playa Del Carmen

1 - 0
FT
Tapachula Logo

Tapachula

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Inter Playa Del Carmen in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Playa Del Carmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Inter Playa Del Carmen
30%
Draws
39%
Tapachula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tapachula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tapachula at 2.07 per game, Inter Playa Del Carmen at 1.37.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Inter Playa Del Carmen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Inter Playa Del Carmen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 14%
Tapachula Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Playa Del Carmen Tapachula
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.37 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Tapachula
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tapachula vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
2:3
Jan 19, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tapachula vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
2:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Tapachula
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Playa Del Carmen 35 / 100
Tapachula 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Playa Del Carmen Tapachula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tapachula conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Inter Playa Del Carmen's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Inter Playa Del Carmen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Playa Del Carmen VS Tapachula
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Playa Del Carmen

(Home)
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1
Inter Playa Del Carmen
23 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Apodaca
18 Apr
Tecos
0 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
15 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
2 : 0
Tecos
28 Mar
Inter Playa Del Carmen
4 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
Page 1 of 6

Tapachula

(Away)
19 Apr
Tapachula
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
15 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 0
Tapachula
12 Apr
Tapachula
4 : 0
Dragones Toluca
28 Mar
Canoneros FC
1 : 2
Tapachula
21 Mar
Tapachula
2 : 1
Pioneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)