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Inter San Carlos vs Alajuelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter San Carlos host Alajuelense in the Primera Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Alajuelense have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Inter San Carlos have conceded 0.77 and scored 1.35. Past meetings favor Alajuelense slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.19) back Inter San Carlos to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Inter San Carlos
20%
Draws
40%
Alajuelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter San Carlos come out ahead of Alajuelense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Inter San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter San Carlos Alajuelense
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter San Carlos 10 / 100
Alajuelense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter San Carlos Alajuelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter San Carlos found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Alajuelense let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Inter San Carlos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter San Carlos VS Alajuelense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter San Carlos

(Home)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
05 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Inter San Carlos
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Saprissa
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Alajuelense

(Away)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)