Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter San Carlos vs Grecia

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gonzalez W.
62' Event
Balmaceda L.
74' Event
Aleman F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Inter San Carlos and Grecia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter San Carlos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Inter San Carlos
30%
Draws
37%
Grecia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter San Carlos come out ahead of Grecia on wins alone.
  • Grecia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Inter San Carlos have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Inter San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%
Grecia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter San Carlos Grecia
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Inter San Carlos vs Grecia
3:1
Feb 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Inter San Carlos
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Inter San Carlos
2:3
Sep 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Inter San Carlos vs Grecia
3:1
Apr 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Inter San Carlos vs Grecia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleman F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Grecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Balmaceda L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter San Carlos 24 / 100
Grecia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter San Carlos Grecia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grecia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter San Carlos scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Grecia let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Inter San Carlos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter San Carlos VS Grecia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter San Carlos

(Home)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
05 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Inter San Carlos
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Saprissa
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Grecia

(Away)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)