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Inter Santa Maria vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estadio Presidente Vargas, Santa Maria
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Leo Hanna
36'
Mossoro
38'
Joao Felipe

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Inter Santa Maria
39%
Draws
31%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Santa Maria have won more games recently than Monsoon.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Maria Monsoon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 12 13
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Gaucho
Inter Santa Maria vs Monsoon
1:1
Feb 9, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Inter Santa Maria
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Monsoon
3:0
Jun 8, 2024 Gaucho 2
Monsoon vs Inter Santa Maria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Santa Maria Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Santana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho Polhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Maria 41 / 100
Monsoon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Maria Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monsoon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Inter Santa Maria's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Inter Santa Maria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Maria VS Monsoon
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Maria

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1
Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1
Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2
Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Inter Santa Maria
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Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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