Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Santa Tecla vs Inca Aruba

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Henriquez J.
65' Event
Paz B.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Ceren D.

AI Match Summary

Inter Santa Tecla in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Santa Tecla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Inter Santa Tecla
30%
Draws
39%
Inca Aruba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inca Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Inca Aruba haven't matched Inter Santa Tecla's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 20%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Tecla Inca Aruba
Matches Played 28 11
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 2
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.39 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Inca Aruba
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriquez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ceren D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Inca Aruba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Tecla 32 / 100
Inca Aruba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Tecla Inca Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Inter Santa Tecla scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Inca Aruba let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Recent resilience: Inter Santa Tecla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Tecla VS Inca Aruba
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Tecla

(Home)
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
13 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
06 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
29 Aug
Platense Municipal
0 : 3
Inter Santa Tecla
Page 1 of 6

Inca Aruba

(Away)
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
09 Sept
Inca Aruba
1 : 0
Atletico Balboa
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
29 Aug
Inca Aruba
1 : 1
Cacahuatique
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 10 6 2 2 18:9 20
2 Inter Santa Tecla 11 5 5 1 16:8 20
3 Metapan 11 6 2 3 15:10 20
4 Luis Angel Firpo 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
5 Municipal Limeno 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Aguila 11 3 5 3 16:14 14
7 Alianza FC 9 3 4 2 14:13 13
8 Atletico Balboa 11 3 3 5 12:16 12
9 Platense Municipal 11 3 3 5 12:16 12
10 Inca Aruba 11 3 2 6 8:20 11
11 Cacahuatique 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
12 Fuerte San Francisco 11 1 4 6 8:19 7
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)