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Stadium Background

Inter Santa Tecla vs Inca Aruba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Henriquez J.
65' Event
Paz B.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Ceren D.

AI Match Summary

Inter Santa Tecla in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Santa Tecla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Inter Santa Tecla
30%
Draws
12%
Inca Aruba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Santa Tecla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Inca Aruba haven't matched Inter Santa Tecla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Inter Santa Tecla a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 20%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Tecla Inca Aruba
Matches Played 26 20
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.31 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Primera Division
Inca Aruba vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:2
Aug 22, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Inca Aruba
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriquez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ceren D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Inca Aruba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Tecla 85 / 100
Inca Aruba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Tecla Inca Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Santa Tecla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inca Aruba has conceded goals in 85% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Inter Santa Tecla scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Recent resilience: Inter Santa Tecla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Tecla VS Inca Aruba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Tecla

(Home)
12 Nov
FAS
2 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
08 Nov
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
31 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
24 Oct
Inca Aruba
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
17 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Inca Aruba

(Away)
12 Nov
Atletico Balboa
4 : 1
Inca Aruba
07 Nov
Inca Aruba
1 : 1
Metapan
31 Oct
Cacahuatique
1 : 0
Inca Aruba
24 Oct
Inca Aruba
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
16 Oct
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 7 2 35:15 40
2 Metapan 20 10 5 5 27:21 35
3 FAS 20 9 7 4 33:23 34
4 Aguila 20 8 7 5 37:28 31
5 Inter Santa Tecla 20 6 10 4 27:20 28
6 Platense Municipal 20 7 6 7 26:24 27
7 Alianza FC 20 6 8 6 26:27 26
8 Municipal Limeno 21 6 6 9 32:33 24
9 Atletico Balboa 20 6 5 9 25:32 23
10 Cacahuatique 20 4 8 8 22:30 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 21 3 8 10 21:36 17
12 Inca Aruba 20 4 5 11 15:37 17
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)