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Inter Sevilla vs Ciudad de Lucena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Morillas J.
62' Event
Agudo D.

AI Match Summary

Ciudad de Lucena in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad de Lucena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Inter Sevilla
20%
Draws
80%
Ciudad de Lucena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad de Lucena lately — more wins on the board than Inter Sevilla.
  • Model gives Ciudad de Lucena a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ciudad de Lucena have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Inter Sevilla Clean Sheet 10%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Sevilla Ciudad de Lucena
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 23
Draws 5 6
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 0.7 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Inter Sevilla
6:4
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Inter Sevilla vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:2
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Inter Sevilla vs Ciudad de Lucena
2:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Inter Sevilla
2:0
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Inter Sevilla vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Sevilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Ciudad de Lucena Compare

Top Goalscorer Morillas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agudo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Sevilla 10 / 100
Ciudad de Lucena 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Sevilla Ciudad de Lucena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Lucena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Inter Sevilla found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ciudad de Lucena conceded in 41% of 34 recent games.

Away concern: Ciudad de Lucena has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciudad de Lucena
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Sevilla

(Home)
11 May
Inter Sevilla
0 : 4
Puente Genil
04 May
Ciudad de Lucena
6 : 4
Inter Sevilla
30 Apr
Inter Sevilla
1 : 4
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Conil
5 : 2
Inter Sevilla
12 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 5
CD Utrera
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Ciudad de Lucena

(Away)
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2
Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Mancha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)