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Inter Toronto vs Cavalry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Canadian Premier League York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
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Match Events

6' Event
Gonzales S.
Assist: Almagro A.
12' Event
Yeates S.
Assist: Almagro A.
33'
Lopez R.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Inter Toronto and Cavalry finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Toronto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Inter Toronto
20%
Draws
40%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Toronto haven't matched Cavalry's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cavalry a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Toronto Cavalry
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.59 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Cavalry
3:1
Aug 2, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Inter Toronto
5:0
Jun 10, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Cavalry
1:5
Apr 25, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Inter Toronto
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Inter Toronto
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Toronto Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeates S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzales S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Didic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Toronto 22 / 100
Cavalry 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Toronto Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Toronto's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Cavalry has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Inter Toronto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Toronto VS Cavalry
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Toronto

(Home)
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
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Cavalry

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 24 14 6 4 38:20 48
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 24 8 4 12 36:44 28
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 24 6 9 9 39:54 27
8 Pacific FC 24 2 8 14 30:52 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)