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Inter Toronto vs Forge FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
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Match Events

18'
Batisse A.
19'
Cordova J.
30'
Jevremovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Inter Toronto and Forge FC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forge FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Inter Toronto
35%
Draws
45%
Forge FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forge FC come out ahead of Inter Toronto on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Forge FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 10%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Toronto Forge FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.18 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Inter Toronto
1:1
Jul 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Forge FC
1:3
Jun 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Forge FC
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Inter Toronto
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Forge FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Toronto Compare

Top Goalscorer Skublak T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ampomah N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oketokoun I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Toronto 30 / 100
Forge FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Toronto Forge FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Toronto scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Forge FC let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Inter Toronto has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Toronto VS Forge FC
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Toronto

(Home)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
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Forge FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 0
Pacific FC
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 25 9 4 12 38:45 31
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)