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Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2025 York Lions Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Inter Toronto play Pacific FC in the Canadian Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Inter Toronto averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Pacific FC averaged 1.16 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. In past meetings, Inter Toronto won 3, Pacific FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Inter Toronto and 1.13 for Pacific FC. This points to a Inter Toronto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Inter Toronto
27%
Draws
20%
Pacific FC
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Inter Toronto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Inter Toronto picked up more points recently compared to Pacific FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 21%
Pacific FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Toronto Pacific FC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.48 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Inter Toronto
0:1
Oct 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC
5:1
Jun 14, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Inter Toronto
1:3
May 11, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Inter Toronto
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Toronto Compare

Top Goalscorer Hundal S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Accettola L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pacific FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Toronto 52 / 100
Pacific FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Toronto Pacific FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Toronto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Inter Toronto & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inter Toronto attacking → ← attacking Pacific FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Toronto scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Pacific FC let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Inter Toronto went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pacific FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 19
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Forge FC281610251:2258
2Atletico Ottawa281511254:2856
3Cavalry28119847:3642
4HFX Wanderers281161141:3439
5Inter Toronto281081043:3838
6Valour28751635:6226
7Pacific FC28581530:5923
8Vancouver FC28491535:5721