Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter U19 vs Lille U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Spinacce M.
Assist: Zanchetta M.
35' Event
Spinacce M.
58' Event
Mosconi M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Inter U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Inter U19
35%
Draws
20%
Lille U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inter U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter U19 come out ahead of Lille U19 on wins alone.
  • Inter U19 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Inter U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Inter U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Inter U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Lille U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter U19 Lille U19
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.3 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Inter U19 vs Lille U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Spinacce M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mosconi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Lille U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lachaab Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter U19 58 / 100
Lille U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter U19 Lille U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter U19 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Lille U19 conceded in 62% of 21 recent games.

Recent resilience: Inter U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter U19 VS Lille U19
2 Goals Scored 0.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter U19

(Home)
08 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 0
Inter U19
18 Mar
Inter U19
2 : 3
Benfica U19
24 Feb
Inter U19
5 : 3
Betis U19
04 Feb
Koln U19
1 : 3
Inter U19
09 Dec
Inter U19
5 : 0
Liverpool U19
Page 1 of 6

Lille U19

(Away)
08 Sept
Lille U19
0 : 0
Betis U19
11 Feb
Inter U19
3 : 1
Lille U19
11 Dec
Lille U19
1 : 1
Sturm Graz U19
27 Nov
Bologna U19
2 : 2
Lille U19
05 Nov
Lille U19
0 : 0
Juventus U19
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Salzburg U19 2
Celtic U19 1
Rapid Vienna U19 1
Atl. Madrid U19 2
Lok. Zagreb U19 1
Sturm Graz U19 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 1
Girona U19 0
Trabzonspor U19 1
Juventus U19 0
Dynamo Kyiv U19 3
Atalanta U19 4
Betis U19 0
Bayern U19 1
Inter U19 3
Lille U19 1
Real Madrid U19 2
Dortmund U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 3
Benfica U19 2
Hoffenheim U19 5
Shakhtar U19 1
Midtjylland U19 2
Manchester City U19 3
Sporting CP U19 4
Monaco U19 0
VfB Stuttgart U19 3
Liverpool U19 2
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Aston Villa U19 2
Barcelona U19 3
Din. Zagreb U19 2
1/8-finals
Salzburg U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 1
Sturm Graz U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 2
Trabzonspor U19 1
Atalanta U19 0
Bayern U19 1
Inter U19 2
Real Madrid U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 2
Hoffenheim U19 1
Manchester City U19 2
Sporting CP U19 2
VfB Stuttgart U19 3
Aston Villa U19 1
Barcelona U19 3
Quarter-finals
Salzburg U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 0
Trabzonspor U19 1
Inter U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 1
Manchester City U19 0
VfB Stuttgart U19 1
Barcelona U19 2
Semi-finals
Salzburg U19 1
Trabzonspor U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 0
Barcelona U19 1
Final
Trabzonspor U19 1
Barcelona U19 4