Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter U23 vs Pergolettese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Careccia S.
35' Event
Corti N.
51' Event
Cinquegrano S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Inter U23
44%
Draws
20%
Pergolettese
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter U23 and Pergolettese have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Inter U23 Clean Sheet 22%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter U23 Pergolettese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Inter U23 vs Pergolettese
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Inter U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cinquegrano S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pergolettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Corti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter U23 37 / 100
Pergolettese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter U23 Pergolettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pergolettese conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Inter U23 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Inter U23 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter U23 VS Pergolettese
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter U23

(Home)
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1
Inter U23
25 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Union Brescia
19 Apr
Giana Erminio
2 : 0
Inter U23
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Arzignano
08 Apr
Inter U23
2 : 1
Trento
Page 1 of 6

Pergolettese

(Away)
25 Apr
Pergolettese
3 : 0
Lecco
19 Apr
Vicenza
0 : 0
Pergolettese
11 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 2
Virtus Verona
06 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Pergolettese
28 Mar
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Pro Patria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)