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Stadium Background

Inter U23 vs Renate

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Anelli N.
37' Event
Lavelli M.
46'
Sub
Kaczmarski I. In: Bovo L.
Out: Kaczmarski I.

AI Match Summary

Renate in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Inter U23
15%
Draws
53%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Inter U23 haven't matched Renate's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Inter U23 taking it.
  • Renate arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Renate, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Renate have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Inter U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Renate Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter U23 Renate
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Inter U23
2:1
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Inter U23 vs Renate
2:3
Oct 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Inter U23 vs Renate
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zuberek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Anelli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Auriletto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter U23 41 / 100
Renate 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter U23 Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Inter U23 scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Renate conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Inter U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter U23 VS Renate
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter U23

(Home)
05 Aug
Lecco
0 : 3
Inter U23
02 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Inter U23
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1
Inter U23
25 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Union Brescia
19 Apr
Giana Erminio
2 : 0
Inter U23
Page 1 of 6

Renate

(Away)
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0
Varese FC
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
19 Apr
Trento
3 : 3
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2