Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Internacional vs Santos

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Rollheiser B.
8' Event
Gabriel Barbosa
28'
Matheus Bahia

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Internacional and Santos finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Internacional
15%
Draws
64%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Internacional haven't matched Santos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santos's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Internacional Clean Sheet 21%
Santos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional Santos
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Santos
2:3
Mar 19, 2026 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Internacional
1:2
Nov 25, 2025 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Santos
1:1
Jul 24, 2025 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Internacional
1:2
Oct 22, 2023 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Santos
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Barbosa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliva C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 16 / 100
Santos 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Internacional found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Santos conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

Internacional went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Internacional VS Santos
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional

(Home)
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
27 Aug
Internacional
0 : 0
Gremio
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Santos

(Away)
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 27 17 6 4 53:22 57
2 Palmeiras 27 16 8 3 47:21 56
3 Athletico-PR 27 13 7 7 41:31 46
4 Bahia 27 12 10 5 42:33 46
5 Fluminense 27 12 9 6 41:35 45
6 Cruzeiro 27 12 6 9 39:39 42
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 27 10 8 9 37:38 38
10 Bragantino 26 10 6 10 32:29 36
11 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
12 Sao Paulo 26 9 6 11 31:30 33
13 Vitoria 27 9 6 12 27:39 33
14 Corinthians 27 8 8 11 28:29 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Gremio 27 7 7 13 30:38 28
17 Vasco 26 7 7 12 29:41 28
18 Internacional 27 6 10 11 30:35 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)