Sport Picks

Inverness vs East Fife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

League Cup Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness

Inverness

Sat, Jul 11, 2026

2 - 1

02:00 PM

East Fife

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Ross C.

34'

Gaffney M.

Assist: Ross C.

59'

Boutin N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Inverness

20%

Draws

29%

East Fife

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Inverness have won more games recently than East Fife.
51% — that's where the model lands on Inverness taking it.
Inverness have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Inverness, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Inverness here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

Inverness Clean Sheet 68%

East Fife Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Inverness	East Fife
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	14	7
Draws	9	11
Losses	5	10
Goals Scored	1.57	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

Inverness vs East Fife

2:1

Apr 25, 2026 League One

East Fife vs Inverness

1:1

Feb 7, 2026 League One

Inverness vs East Fife

3:0

Jan 20, 2026 League One

East Fife vs Inverness

0:2

Sep 27, 2025 League One

Inverness vs East Fife

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inverness Compare

Top Goalscorer Mackinnon A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

East Fife Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaffney M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 77 / 100

East Fife 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Inverness East Fife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inverness Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

East Fife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Inverness stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS East Fife

1.13 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)

25 Sept

Inverness

2 : 0

Morton

19 Sept

Livingston

2 : 2

Inverness

12 Sept

Ayr

1 : 3

Inverness

05 Sept

Inverness

0 : 2

Raith

29 Aug

Stenhousemuir

3 : 1

Inverness

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East Fife

(Away)

03 Oct

East Fife

0 : 3

East Kilbride

26 Sept

East Fife

0 : 2

Clydebank FC

19 Sept

East Fife

1 : 2

Montrose

15 Sept

East Fife

4 : 1

Motherwell B

12 Sept

Queen of the South

1 : 1

East Fife

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