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Inverness vs Livingston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inverness host Livingston in the Championship. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Inverness have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Livingston's 1.5 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Inverness have won 3 to Livingston's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back Inverness to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Inverness
30%
Draws
23%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Livingston haven't matched Inverness's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Inverness a 47% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Inverness Clean Sheet 17%
Livingston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inverness Livingston
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Livingston vs Inverness
2:2
Oct 12, 2024 Challenge Cup
Livingston vs Inverness
3:2
Feb 11, 2023 Scottish Cup
Livingston vs Inverness
0:3
Jul 12, 2022 League Cup
Livingston vs Inverness
1:2
Feb 8, 2020 Scottish Cup
Inverness vs Livingston
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 66 / 100
Livingston 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inverness Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inverness Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inverness scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Livingston let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Inverness stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS Livingston
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)
17 Oct
Inverness
2 : 0
Arbroath
13 Oct
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Inverness
10 Oct
Inverness
2 : 0
Stenhousemuir
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

Livingston

(Away)
17 Oct
Dunfermline
0 : 0
Livingston
10 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Partick 11 6 4 1 12:4 22
3 Raith 11 6 3 2 16:7 21
4 Inverness 11 4 4 3 14:11 16
5 Dunfermline 10 3 6 1 8:6 15
6 Livingston 11 4 2 5 14:11 14
7 Ayr 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
8 Arbroath 11 3 2 6 7:17 11
9 Morton 11 2 1 8 9:18 7
10 Queen's Park 11 2 1 8 6:18 7
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)