Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inverness vs Queen of the South

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Charters T.
33'
MacIntyre O.
35' Event
Clark N.
Assist: MacKenzie Z.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Inverness and Queen of the South finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Inverness
28%
Draws
22%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inverness come out ahead of Queen of the South on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Inverness's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Inverness Clean Sheet 16%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inverness Queen of the South
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 League One
Inverness vs Queen of the South
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Inverness
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 League One
Inverness vs Queen of the South
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Inverness
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Inverness
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inverness Compare

Top Goalscorer Millen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 48 / 100
Queen of the South 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inverness Queen of the South

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Queen of the South let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Inverness stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS Queen of the South
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
18 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2
Inverness
11 Jul
Inverness
2 : 1
East Fife
07 Jul
Cove Rangers
1 : 4
Inverness
04 Jul
Inverness
0 : 4
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Queen of the South

(Away)
18 Jul
Brora Rangers
0 : 3
Queen of the South
11 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2
Kelty Hearts
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2
Crusaders
27 Jun
Queen of the South
0 : 1
Connahs Q.
09 May
Stenhousemuir
3 : 2
Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness362111460:2469
2Stenhousemuir361813550:2767
3Queen of the South3614121058:4754
4Alloa361581350:3853
5Peterhead361271748:6443
6Montrose361191648:6742
7Cove Rangers369111641:4438
8East Fife36991834:6136
9Hamilton361671354:4234
10Kelty Hearts366111933:6229
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2025/2026 (Main)