Sport Picks

Inverness vs St Johnstone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

League Cup Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness

Inverness

1 - 0

St Johnstone

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Stewart A.

36'

Boyes M.

63'

Sub

Tait M. In: McAlear R.

Out: Tait M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Inverness

30%

Draws

29%

St Johnstone

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and St Johnstone come out ahead of Inverness on wins alone.
41% — that's where the model lands on Inverness taking it.
St Johnstone arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Inverness, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Inverness Clean Sheet 68%

St Johnstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Inverness	St Johnstone
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	16
Draws	9	7
Losses	5	6
Goals Scored	1.57	1.83
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.9
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup

Inverness vs St Johnstone

1:0

Jul 19, 2025 League Cup

Inverness vs St Johnstone

0:1

May 23, 2022 Premiership

St Johnstone vs Inverness

4:0

May 20, 2022 Premiership

Inverness vs St Johnstone

2:2

Jul 12, 2019 Club Friendly

Inverness vs St Johnstone

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inverness Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

St Johnstone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 59 / 100

St Johnstone 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Inverness St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inverness Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 5:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Inverness has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St Johnstone let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS St Johnstone

1.13 Goals Scored 1.25

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)

25 Sept

Inverness

2 : 0

Morton

19 Sept

Livingston

2 : 2

Inverness

12 Sept

Ayr

1 : 3

Inverness

05 Sept

Inverness

0 : 2

Raith

29 Aug

Stenhousemuir

3 : 1

Inverness

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St Johnstone

(Away)

19 Sept

St Johnstone

1 : 1

Falkirk

09 Sept

St Johnstone

0 : 1

Celtic

06 Sept

St Johnstone

2 : 1

Hibernian

02 Sept

Dundee FC

1 : 1

St Johnstone

29 Aug

Hearts

2 : 1

St Johnstone

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