Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness

Inverness

1 - 0

St Johnstone

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Stewart A.

36'

Boyes M.

63'

Sub

Tait M. In: McAlear R.

Out: Tait M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Inverness

30%

Draws

35%

St Johnstone

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and St Johnstone come out ahead of Inverness on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
St Johnstone arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Inverness, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Inverness Clean Sheet 16%

St Johnstone Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Inverness	St Johnstone
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	18
Draws	11	6
Losses	3	5
Goals Scored	1.55	1.93
Goals Conceded	1.07	0.72
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup

Inverness vs St Johnstone

1:0

Jul 19, 2025 League Cup

Inverness vs St Johnstone

0:1

May 23, 2022 Premiership

St Johnstone vs Inverness

4:0

May 20, 2022 Premiership

Inverness vs St Johnstone

2:2

Jul 12, 2019 Club Friendly

Inverness vs St Johnstone

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inverness Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

St Johnstone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 31 / 100

St Johnstone 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Inverness St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Inverness has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St Johnstone lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS St Johnstone

1.25 Goals Scored 2.13

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)

21 Aug

Inverness

1 : 1

Partick

16 Aug

Hearts

6 : 2

Inverness

08 Aug

Arbroath

0 : 0

Inverness

01 Aug

Inverness

0 : 0

Dunfermline

25 Jul

Morton

0 : 1

Inverness

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St Johnstone

(Away)

08 Aug

St. Mirren

1 : 0

St Johnstone

02 Aug

St Johnstone

4 : 3

Kilmarnock

25 Jul

St Johnstone

1 : 2

East Fife

21 Jul

Inverness

1 : 0

St Johnstone

18 Jul

St Johnstone

3 : 0

Morton

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