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Inveruno vs FC Castiglione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Castiglione in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Castiglione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Inveruno
6%
Draws
4%
FC Castiglione
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Inveruno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Castiglione have won more games recently than Inveruno.
  • Inveruno are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 18%
FC Castiglione Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inveruno FC Castiglione
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 7
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs FC Castiglione
0:3
Oct 26, 2014 Serie D - Group B
FC Castiglione vs Inveruno
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inveruno 85 / 100
FC Castiglione 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inveruno FC Castiglione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inveruno scored in 63% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FC Castiglione's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Castiglione's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inveruno VS FC Castiglione
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 7
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inveruno

(Home)
16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2
Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
NibionnOggiono
1 : 1
Inveruno
02 Feb
Inveruno
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
26 Jan
Levico Terme
1 : 0
Inveruno
19 Jan
Inveruno
0 : 3
Legnano
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FC Castiglione

(Away)
10 Aug
FC Castiglione
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
19 Jul
Mantova
13 : 0
FC Castiglione
28 May
Siena
2 : 1
FC Castiglione
20 May
Cuneo
1 : 2
FC Castiglione
17 May
FC Castiglione
1 : 1
Padova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Castiglione36228654:2674
2Lecco36199865:4266
3Seregno Calcio362051164:3765
4Ciserano361791053:3960
5Virtus Verona361514758:3459
6Pergolettese3615101146:4455
7Olginatese361591244:3454
8Ponte San Pietro3614101250:4252
9Ciliverghe Mazzano361491337:4051
10Sondrio361561546:5051
11Aurora Seriate361481442:4350
12Inveruno3613101347:4849
13Villafranca3612111344:4947
14MapelloBonate3612111336:4847
15Pro Sesto361381538:4147
16Caravaggio361181737:4241
17Folgore Caratese367161334:4037
18Castellana36792036:6130
19Montichiari36123326:975
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)