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Ipatinga vs Democrata SL

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Allison
77'
Pedro Tulio
77'
Pedro Tulio

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Ipatinga and Democrata SL finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ipatinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ipatinga
15%
Draws
64%
Democrata SL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Democrata SL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Democrata SL's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ipatinga Clean Sheet 10%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipatinga Democrata SL
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.72 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Ipatinga
5:0
Jun 6, 2026 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Democrata SL
1:5
Jun 21, 2025 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Democrata SL
1:0
May 3, 2025 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Ipatinga
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 Serie D
Ipatinga vs Democrata SL
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipatinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Allison
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Democrata SL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.98
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipatinga 10 / 100
Democrata SL 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipatinga Democrata SL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Democrata SL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Ipatinga's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ipatinga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ipatinga VS Democrata SL
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
2.86 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipatinga

(Home)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
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Democrata SL

(Away)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)