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Ipojuca vs Serrano PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 2023 game between Ipojuca and Serrano PE finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serrano PE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ipojuca
30%
Draws
31%
Serrano PE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ipojuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ipojuca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ipojuca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ipojuca Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipojuca Serrano PE
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.53 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Ipojuca vs Serrano PE
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipojuca 40 / 100
Serrano PE 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipojuca Serrano PE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipojuca scored in 84% of their last 38 games.

Serrano PE has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Ipojuca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Serrano PE registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ipojuca VS Serrano PE
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipojuca

(Home)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
12 Oct
Ipojuca
2 : 4
America PE
04 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 0
Ipojuca
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
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Serrano PE

(Away)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Ipojuca 6 4 1 1 13:2 13
3 Cabense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Santa Fe PE 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
5 Barreiros FC 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
6 Serrano PE 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
7 Aguia FC 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)