Sport Picks
Ipswich U21 vs Brighton U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Portman Road, Ipswich 
Match Events
41'
41'
Mendel-Idowu T.
Assist: Nelson E.
45'
45'
Robertson J.
Assist: Silsby T.
46'
46'
Sub
Elliott L. In: Onuchukwu A.
Out: Elliott L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Brighton U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brighton U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ipswich U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Brighton U21 a 46% chance of winning this.
- Ipswich U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Brighton U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ipswich U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ipswich U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2026 Premier League 2
Ipswich U21 vs Brighton U21
1:2
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League 2
Ipswich U21 vs Brighton U21
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ipswich U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendel-Idowu T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Brighton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Robertson J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Keogh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ipswich U21 14 / 100
Brighton U21 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ipswich U21 Brighton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brighton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ipswich U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Brighton U21 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Ipswich U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ipswich U21 VS Brighton U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ipswich U21
(Home) 11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Ipswich U21
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Ipswich U21
28 Aug
Ipswich U21
4 : 1 Blackburn U21
24 Aug
Manchester United U21
5 : 0 Ipswich U21
18 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Ipswich U21
4 : 1 Blackburn U21
14 Aug
Ipswich U21
2 : 4 Coventry U21
24 Apr
Ipswich U21
1 : 2 Brighton U21
23 Mar
Ipswich U21
0 : 0 Burnley U21
06 Mar
Ipswich U21
0 : 3 West Brom U21
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Brighton U21
(Away) 11 Sept
Brighton U21
3 : 0 Leicester U21
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Brighton U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2 Arsenal U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Brighton U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Brighton U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Chelsea U21 1
Middlesbrough U21 0
Tottenham U21 1
Leicester U21 0
Ipswich U21 1
Brighton U21 2
Fulham U21 2
West Ham U21 3
Southampton U21 3
Aston Villa U21 4
Manchester City U21 3
Arsenal U21 1
Liverpool U21 3
Crystal Palace U21 4
Manchester United U21 3
Sunderland U21 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea U21 1
Tottenham U21 3
Brighton U21 3
West Ham U21 0
Aston Villa U21 2
Manchester City U21 3
Crystal Palace U21 0
Manchester United U21 2
Semi-finals
Tottenham U21 1
Brighton U21 3
Manchester City U21 3
Manchester United U21 4
Final
Brighton U21 1
Manchester United U21 0
