Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ipswich U23 vs Watford U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Portman Road, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Stewart C.
47' Event
Stewart C.
57' Event
Simpson T.

AI Match Summary

Ipswich U23 in this Professional Development League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipswich U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ipswich U23
30%
Draws
28%
Watford U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ipswich U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ipswich U23 lately — more wins on the board than Watford U23.
  • Model gives Ipswich U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ipswich U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Watford U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich U23 Watford U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.23 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2022 Professional Development League
Ipswich U23 vs Watford U23
3:0
Nov 30, 2021 Professional Development League
Watford U23 vs Ipswich U23
1:4
Feb 5, 2021 Professional Development League
Watford U23 vs Ipswich U23
3:2
Dec 1, 2020 Professional Development League
Ipswich U23 vs Watford U23
3:0
Feb 10, 2020 Professional Development League
Ipswich U23 vs Watford U23
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Simpson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Watford U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich U23 76 / 100
Watford U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich U23 Watford U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ipswich U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich U23's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Watford U23 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Ipswich U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich U23 VS Watford U23
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich U23

(Home)
10 May
Coventry U23
5 : 4
Ipswich U23
03 May
Ipswich U23
3 : 0
Sheffield Utd U23
29 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 2
Ipswich U23
12 Apr
Bristol City U23
0 : 1
Ipswich U23
05 Apr
Ipswich U23
0 : 1
Hull City U23
Page 1 of 6

Watford U23

(Away)
26 Jul
Hitchin
0 : 0
Watford U23
03 May
Watford U23
2 : 1
Barnsley U23
26 Apr
Watford U23
1 : 1
QPR U23
19 Apr
Coventry U23
4 : 2
Watford U23
11 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 0
Watford U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)