Sport Picks

England

EFL Cup Portman Road, Ipswich

Arsenal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Ipswich at 1.72 goals for, 1.28 against; Arsenal at 1.57 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Ipswich have won 1 to Arsenal's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 20, 2025, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.88) point toward Arsenal. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Ipswich

15%

Draws

53%

Arsenal

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Arsenal carry the better recent record into this one.
Arsenal are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Arsenal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Arsenal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Arsenal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%

Arsenal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ipswich	Arsenal
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	15	18
Draws	7	4
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.72	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.28	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Premier League

Ipswich vs Arsenal

0:4

Dec 27, 2024 Premier League

Arsenal vs Ipswich

1:0

Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly

Arsenal vs Ipswich

5:1

Jan 25, 2011 EFL Cup

Arsenal vs Ipswich

3:0

Jan 12, 2011 EFL Cup

Ipswich vs Arsenal

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 14 / 100

Arsenal 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ipswich Arsenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ipswich went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Arsenal

2.13 Goals Scored 2.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)

04 Sept

Ipswich

0 : 2

Liverpool

30 Aug

Manchester United

5 : 2

Ipswich

25 Aug

Ipswich

3 : 1

Leicester

22 Aug

Ipswich

2 : 1

Sunderland

15 Aug

Union Berlin

2 : 4

Ipswich

Page 1 of 6

Arsenal

(Away)

06 Sept

Arsenal

2 : 1

Chelsea

31 Aug

Aston Villa

0 : 1

Arsenal

21 Aug

Arsenal

3 : 0

Coventry

16 Aug

Arsenal

3 : 0

Manchester City

12 Aug

Arsenal

2 : 1

Como

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Stockport County 1

Doncaster 2

Middlesbrough 1

Wrexham 0

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 3

Swindon 2

Norwich 4

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 2

Oldham 0

TBD -

Hull City -

Plymouth 2

Exeter 0

TBD -

Coventry -

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea -

TBD -

Gillingham 0

Luton 3

Nottingham -

TBD -

Leeds -

Ipswich -

TBD -

Leicester 1

Northampton 0

TBD -

Arsenal -

Colchester 0

Southampton 2

West Ham 3

Portsmouth 1

Fulham -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon 2

Newport 1

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Grimsby 1

Blackpool 3

Derby 1

Lincoln City 2

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham -

TBD -

Cheltenham 1

Charlton 3

Cambridge Utd 2

Barnet 1

QPR 1

Millwall 2

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Rotherham 1

West Brom 4

Fleetwood Town 1

Chesterfield 0

Salford 1

Shrewsbury 2

Burton 1

Blackburn 2

Mansfield 0

Sheffield Utd 3

Preston 2

Huddersfield 1

TBD -

Everton -

Sheffield Wed 1

Bolton 0

Wolves 3

Port Vale 0

Bristol City 0

Walsall 1

Leyton Orient 2

Oxford Utd 0

Bradford City 2

Rochdale 0

Burnley 2

Notts County 1

Wycombe 1

Stevenage 2

Bromley 1

Reading 2

Swansea 0

Birmingham 1

TBD -

Brentford -

Watford 1

Crawley Town 0

Bristol Rovers 0

Peterborough 1

Barnsley 2

Wigan 1

Crewe 2

Accrington 1

1/32-finals

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Doncaster 1

Middlesbrough 3

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 1

Norwich 2

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 1

Hull City 2

Plymouth 2

Coventry 4

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea 2

Luton 0

Nottingham 0

Leeds 2

Ipswich 3

Leicester 1

TBD -

Arsenal -

Southampton 1

West Ham 4

Fulham 3

AFC Wimbledon 0

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Blackpool 1

Lincoln City 4

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham 5

Charlton 1

Cambridge Utd 0

Millwall 1

Newcastle Utd 3

West Brom 2

Fleetwood Town 4

Shrewsbury 0

Blackburn 1

Sheffield Utd 2

Preston 0

Everton 4

Sheffield Wed 0

Wolves 2

Walsall 0

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford City 1

Burnley 0

Stevenage 0

Reading 3

Birmingham 1

Brentford 6

Watford 1

Peterborough 5

Barnsley 3

Crewe 2

1/16-finals

Crystal Palace -

Middlesbrough -

Manchester United -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

Norwich -

Sunderland -

Hull City -

Coventry -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea -

Leeds -

Ipswich -

Arsenal -

West Ham -

Fulham -

Bournemouth -

Lincoln City -

Liverpool -

Tottenham -

Millwall -

Newcastle Utd -

Fleetwood Town -

Sheffield Utd -

Everton -

Wolves -

Leyton Orient -

Bradford City -

Reading -

Brentford -

Peterborough -

Barnsley -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Ipswich vs Arsenal

England

Ipswich

Arsenal

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

Arsenal

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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