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Ipswich vs Capalaba FC

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Briggs Rd Sporting Complex, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Nguyen N.
65' Event
Butler C.
90' Event
Nana C.

AI Match Summary

Ipswich in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ipswich
20%
Draws
40%
Capalaba FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ipswich lately — more wins on the board than Capalaba FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 13%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Capalaba FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.37 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Capalaba FC
3:0
May 10, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Ipswich
2:4
Jun 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Ipswich
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Capalaba FC
2:4
Jun 29, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Capalaba FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Butler C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Capalaba FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 30 / 100
Capalaba FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Capalaba FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ipswich Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capalaba FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Capalaba FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ipswich's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Capalaba FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
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Capalaba FC

(Away)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)