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Ipswich vs Logan Lightning

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Briggs Rd Sporting Complex, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Cooper N.
90' Event
Buckman L.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Ipswich and Logan Lightning finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ipswich
20%
Draws
51%
Logan Lightning
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Logan Lightning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Logan Lightning's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Ipswich have produced (1.37).
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Logan Lightning
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Ipswich
3:2
Apr 10, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Logan Lightning
2:0
Jun 3, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Ipswich
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Logan Lightning
3:1
Aug 2, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Logan Lightning
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buckman L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Logan Lightning Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 34 / 100
Logan Lightning 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Logan Lightning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Logan Lightning Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logan Lightning let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ipswich found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Ipswich remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Logan Lightning
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
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Logan Lightning

(Away)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)