Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ipswich vs QPR

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Portman Road, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hirst G.
9' Event
Philogene J.
Assist: Hirst G.
46'
Sub
Madsen N. In: Smyth P.
Out: Madsen N.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Ipswich and QPR finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ipswich
15%
Draws
49%
QPR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: QPR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • QPR haven't matched Ipswich's recent run of results.
  • Model gives QPR a 49% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 15%
QPR Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich QPR
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.69 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Championship
Ipswich vs QPR
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Championship
QPR vs Ipswich
1:4
Dec 29, 2023 Championship
Ipswich vs QPR
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Championship
QPR vs Ipswich
0:1
Dec 26, 2018 Championship
QPR vs Ipswich
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Hirst G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Philogene J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

QPR Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 19 / 100
QPR 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich QPR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: QPR conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Ipswich has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS QPR
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
08 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
04 Aug
Ipswich
1 : 0
Le Havre
01 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 2
Ipswich
01 Aug
Oxford Utd
2 : 0
Ipswich
29 Jul
Ipswich
1 : 2
Osasuna
Page 1 of 6

QPR

(Away)
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2
Millwall
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3
QPR
31 Jul
Bromley
0 : 7
QPR
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2
Fiorentina
21 Jul
QPR
1 : 0
Wycombe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)